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Norebangs Many norebangs will provide girls for you, from an outside service. Given the growing threat of limited resources in the society, especially in the health care system and public health system, the projection of the future epidemic can help us to optimise resource allocation and design efficient, economical, timely health policies targeting the high risk populations and high prevalence areas. A Markov process is a type of stochastic processes in which a system changes in a random manner between different states, at regular or irregular intervals[ 5 ]. Markov chain modelling has been applied to a number of studies in the medical field over the years to predict and estimate random or uncertain events associated with specific probabilities of occurrence.

Observational data on patients in Trent, England was collected from to and used for the longitudinal study. Although previous studies have modelled disease progress and transmission dynamics using Markov models[ 15161718 ], few have focused on epidemiological disease progression at a macro level of total populations through Markov models. In other words, it does not depend on how the system has led to the current state. Thus, for a Markov process, the state of the process at a given time contains all the information about the past evolution of the process which is of use in predicting its future behaviour[ 5 ].

We assume that epidemiological disease progression in individuals at large follows the Markovian property. The Gentlemah model can provide a useful tool to bentleman or model a stochastic progression behaviour despite insufficient historical data points. Markov model analysis and verification: The states to be modelled in this paper are S1: The rate of vulnerable people V ; S2: The states in fig. The transient states are S1, S2 and S3 while the recurrent absorbing state is S4. Transitions between these states will be modelled separately for the African Americans and Caucasians.


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